The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable

Synopsis

The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertaintywhat have the invention of the wheel, pompeii, the wall street crash, harry potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about black swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them.